Funding Simulator Pro
The Funding Simulator — the "Simulador" tab of the Performance hub — estimates your probability of passing a challenge with the firm rules (target, total DD, daily DD) and projects a 24-month scaling plan with multiple simultaneous challenges.
The essentials
- It loads your real stats (win rate, avg win/loss, W/L ratio, trades/day) from the last 90 days. With <5 trades it uses generic values.
- The simulator shuffles your trade distribution 500 times against the rules you set (target, DD, risk per trade).
- The Scaling Plan projects challenges/month, funded accounts, payout income and accumulated capital over 24 months.
- P(Pass) is the key metric: if it stays below 40% don't scale — fix the system first.
Section 1 — Challenge simulator
- Account size
- Chips: $5k, $10k, $25k, $50k or $100k. Defines the starting capital the DD limits apply to.
- Profit target
- Slider 5–15%. Target you must hit to pass (typical 8% in Phase 1, 5% in Phase 2).
- Max total drawdown
- Slider 4–15%. Absolute loss limit from initial equity. If you touch it, you fail.
- Max daily loss
- Slider 2–8%. Single-day loss limit. If you touch it, you fail that day.
- Risk per trade
- Slider 0.1–5%. The page computes your real Half-Kelly and sets it as default. Leave it there unless you know what you're doing.
KPIs the simulation returns
- P(Pass)
- % of the 500 trajectories that hit the target without breaching total DD or daily DD. The most important metric.
- Trades (median)
- Typical trades to pass. Below it the equivalent in days (÷ trades/day).
- Expected ratio
- Expected profit divided by risk assumed per trade. You want >1.
- Fails by DD
- % of simulations dying by hitting total DD.
- Fails daily
- % dying by hitting daily DD before reaching target.
- Unresolved
- % that neither hit target nor DD in N trades — they stall halfway.
Section 2 — Scaling plan (24 months)
- Simultaneous challenges
- Slider 1–10. How many challenges you keep open in parallel (default 2).
- Cost per challenge ($)
- Free input. What you pay per attempt (default $300).
- Starting capital ($)
- Your current bankroll (default $600). Defines how much you can lose before going broke.
- Payout (% of profits)
- Slider 60–90%. Share of profits the firm pays you (default 80%).
What the plan returns
- Month-by-month table: challenges launched, accumulated funded accounts, monthly payout income and net accumulated capital (after costs).
- Stacked-bar chart of the 24-month evolution.
- Projection based on the simulator's P(Pass) and your real historical performance.
- If the table shows shrinking capital, your bankroll can't sustain the pace: raise starting capital or drop simultaneous challenges.
Tips
- Leave risk per trade on Half-Kelly: the page computes it from your real stats and sets it as default.
- Compare the plan at 2 vs 5 simultaneous challenges to see the sweet spot for your bankroll.
- If your real win rate is <50%, the generic values (55% win, 1.67 ratio) are optimistic — work the edge before buying challenges.
- Cost per challenge includes retries: if your P(Pass) is 50%, on average you'll pay for 2 challenges to pass one.
Important
If P(Pass) stays <40% consistently, do NOT scale with more simultaneous challenges — fix the system first. Scaling a losing system multiplies losses, not gains. Each extra failed account brings you closer to a zero bankroll.
Related
Advanced Analytics Pro
Advanced Analytics Pro — the "Avanzado Pro" tab of the Performance hub — models your system with Monte Carlo simulations (500 runs), computes the real Kelly Criterion and estimates Risk of Ruin from your actual trades.
Track Record Pro
Track Record — a tab of the Performance hub — is a printable page ready to share with prop firms, potential clients or your trading résumé. One screen with header, KPIs, equity curve, monthly P&L, session×day heatmap and your last 100 trades. Verified accounts only: every trade must have entered through automatic sync.
Log payouts
Payouts are the payments you receive from a propfirm from a Funded account. Tracking them gives you the real project ROI (collected − paid in challenges).
Firms catalog
/firms is the directory of prop firms the journal works with, along with their preconfigured official rules.